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help me pick my next rifle

And I can tell you BILLIONs of zeros have been done otherwise and been just fine. No need to waste all that ammo. Especially if it’s just a hunting rifle. You could zero in single shots. Single shots with time between to allow barrel to cool is best. If you’re zeroed with a cold barrel and then after some round the zero travels that’s normal bc the barrel is hot it’s a known fact that a hot rifle is less accurate from the reference of the original zero but as I said the barrel of your hunting rifle should never be getting hot unless it’s sitting in the sun. The hot barrel mentionings are mainly talking AR platforms. Idk where you heard that 10rnd thing but I’d bet money whovever is pushing that garbage is not a professional.
It's all good my friend. Like i said before, I know people will throw rocks at me for suggesting something different.

BTW these are the guys that put out the information and instead of shouting at them and calling them idiots, I packed up a rifle and went to the range to test it for myself.


 
It's all good my friend. Like i said before, I know people will throw rocks at me for suggesting something different.

BTW these are the guys that put out the information and instead of shouting at them and calling them idiots, I packed up a rifle and went to the range to test it for myself.


Get outta here. Why would a company that makes bullets want you to shoot more of them?
Kidding, like I said, in a heavy match barrel that I plan to shoot hot it makes sense. It’s not appropriate for a hunting rifle imo
 
Get outta here. Why would a company that makes bullets want you to shoot more of them?
Kidding, like I said, in a heavy match barrel that I plan to shoot hot it makes sense. It’s not appropriate for a hunting rifle imo

I can guarantee with 100% certainty theres an exceedingly simple answer to barrel heat….
Don’t. Shoot. Fast. :D
 
Late to the party, skimmed 7 pages of comments. Here goes...
Inside of 300 yards, .308 doesn't give anything up to .270, 6.5, or 7mm08. Inside of 300 yards I'd give the edge to .338Federal or .358Win, but you're not considering going big-bore.

Recommendation 1: Howa in .308 or 7mm-08 as a straight hunting rifle. Bergara, Sako, Tikka, etc, are all fine rifles, I just like the Howa flat bottom and integral recoil lug. What can I say, I'm a Mauser fanboy.

Recommendation 2: Winchester Model 70 Featherweight and CZ550 are, for my money, the best-looking production rifles on the market today. If you're thinking of buying an heirloom to pass down to the young'un you want to teach to shoot, while they will certainly treasure any rifle they inherit - you just can't compare the artistry and soul of blued steel and figured and checkered walnut to stainless and synthetic. You just can't. Classic rifles are just prettier than modern rifles, even if the modern rifles are more practical hunting arms. And, these are solid, accurate rifles that will make just as much meat today as the old Mausers did in the 1890s.
 
Good call. One to zero before the hunt, another 3 weeks later before putting it back in storage(or if scope gets bumped)
There's an easy way to figure out cold bore accuracy. Just use push pins instead of staples so the one shot target can be pulled down and reuse it for the next cold bore shot. Wait a week, a month, or a year in between shots if you want, using the same target to record your cold bore shots will show what the cold bore accuracy of the rifle is.
 
It's all good my friend. Like i said before, I know people will throw rocks at me for suggesting something different.

BTW these are the guys that put out the information and instead of shouting at them and calling them idiots, I packed up a rifle and went to the range to test it for myself.


Just curious, but what is the difference in actual POI that you personally saw?
 
A Ruger M77 is NOT a Ruger American lol, just sayin'. Don't buy a Savage Axis either!
That's fair. I should have said ruger american.

I have a ruger gp100 that I love. I did a pretty thorough trigger job on it but it's my favorite handgun I own. Although everything else is semiautomatic pistols.
 
Not a gun guy either but if 95% of your shots are 150 or less, why not set up a good ML and get 2 seasons?
Sometimes people miss and ya need another shot...good to have both. I actually used a muzzy in the same way you're mentioning until I bought that ruger american.
It's a pain to clean even with blackhorn.
Can't see past the cloud when you shoot.
Can't just unload the round and put it back in the box after a hunt. Especially if you're using blackhorn.
Getting wet is more of a concern.
Finding the exact primers and sabots and powder you like (your gun likes) can be tougher than finding a 308 round. Even on the interwebz.

I'm sure there's a ton more reasons but it's much nicer having both now that I do. When it was shotgun only in my state I didn't care. The pros of using my muzzy instead of a shotgun outweighed the cons. Mostly max distance
 
You believe you're getting the same results. So did I. Until I challenged my own beliefs and actually went out and tested it and it changed my mind. It's all good. I know y'all are just going to shout at me about being wrong but none of you are actually going to go out to the range and put rounds down to test it yourselves :D
Unless you are using hand loaded ammo where you have the ability to take all the inconsistencies possible out of the ammo you are also fighting the standard deviations imparted by the ammo manufacturer. You have found what gives you confidence and that is what matters but if you want true point of impact on a hunting rifle all shots need to be cold bore. No one is going to burn up a barrel shooting 15 round groups and adjust to center poi when a cold bore shot is off from the “centered” deviations. Thats why hand loaders tune ammo to the gun. They keep the variables centered around point of impact.

I shoot hundreds of rounds a year developing loads and honing trigger techniques. The average hunter shooting factory ammo needs to setup their rifle based on cold bore data with the ammo the gun performs the best with.
 
Just curious, but what is the difference in actual POI that you personally saw?

I got busy here for a bit..I can give you a number but number is meaningless from a conceptual standpoint. The reason I say that is because the impact points follow a normal RANDOM distribution. So for example, lets say I shoot a 25 shot group which is going to be a pretty close representation of the maximum dispersion of the rifle and that group measures 2.5 inches. If you're talking about a 3 shot group, since the impacts are random, literally pick any three holes within that 2.5 inch group and what do they measure? Some of those random 3 hole groups are going to be close to the center of the 25 group, some are going to way off, and some in between. With a single 3 shot group you have no idea which 3 random holes you're looking at.

Considering the random nature of those impact points, you can see how shooting a 10 shot group (I think that's what you said you were shooting earlier) is going to be a much closer approximation to the center of the 25 than if you only pick 3 random holes, which is closer than only shooting 1 shot.
 
I got busy here for a bit..I can give you a number but number is meaningless from a conceptual standpoint. The reason I say that is because the impact points follow a normal RANDOM distribution. So for example, lets say I shoot a 25 shot group which is going to be a pretty close representation of the maximum dispersion of the rifle and that group measures 2.5 inches. If you're talking about a 3 shot group, since the impacts are random, literally pick any three holes within that 2.5 inch group and what do they measure? Some of those random 3 hole groups are going to be close to the center of the 25 group, some are going to way off, and some in between. With a single 3 shot group you have no idea which 3 random holes you're looking at.

Considering the random nature of those impact points, you can see how shooting a 10 shot group (I think that's what you said you were shooting earlier) is going to be a much closer approximation to the center of the 25 than if you only pick 3 random holes, which is closer than only shooting 1 shot.
This conversation just got interesting for me.... I am an engineer with a PhD so I really am a math nerd. There is a lot of good information here. Here is the two things I would clarify. While I do not know what the statistics of shot patterns are, I certainly guarantee they are not Normal (Gaussian) statistics. If you have an extreme outlier it is caused by technique or bullet. When shooting, you do not get a true mean and variance (dispersion) but a sample mean and variance that will approximate the true statistics. You are right that fewer shots will potentially have large bias; thinks of flipping a coin. 10 flips you might get 8H and 2T but in 1000 flips it will be very close to 500H/500T. This is a real life example of the Central Limit Theorem. All that said, for most of use, I bet our shot variation is more based on the shooter than on the rifle unless you are using a sled.
 
While I do not know what the statistics of shot patterns are, I certainly guarantee they are not Normal (Gaussian) statistics. If you have an extreme outlier it is caused by technique or bullet. When shooting, you do not get a true mean and variance (dispersion) but a sample mean and variance that will approximate the true statistics...
....All that said, for most of use, I bet our shot variation is more based on the shooter than on the rifle unless you are using a sled.
You're an engineer. Engineers test things. If you're certain what I'm saying isn't true go test it so we can discuss what you found :D.
 
You're an engineer. Engineers test things. If you're certain what I'm saying isn't true go test it so we can discuss what you found :D.
Oh I believe what you are saying is "true", certainly in principle. I can sort of empirically prove that it is not Normal (Gaussian) statistics since that would allow for a probability (albeit small) of shots landing well outside of the target area (infinitely outside in fact). I would postulate that it is maybe a raised cosine or triangular distribution with a small variance.

I did think your practical explanation was excellent and informative and points to the problem with sampled data.

Merry Christmas to my fellow hunting and math nerds
 
Oh I believe what you are saying is "true", certainly in principle. I can sort of empirically prove that it is not Normal (Gaussian) statistics since that would allow for a probability (albeit small) of shots landing well outside of the target area (infinitely outside in fact). I would postulate that it is maybe a raised cosine or triangular distribution with a small variance.

I did think your practical explanation was excellent and informative and points to the problem with sampled data.

Merry Christmas to my fellow hunting and math nerds

Typical propeller-head, nose in a book but afraid to get your hands dirty :D

Seriously though, I may not have your technical knowledge of statistics but I have a BS in Mechanical Engineering and a desire to learn how things work. When the Hornady engineers and Bryan Litz started posting their research from shooting small vs large sample sizes everybody on every shooting forum I used to follow did exactly what everyone on here is doing. Come up with a million and one reasons why it's wrong and another million and one reasons why they won't go to a range and shoot to try it. Instead of following the herd I actually got a rifle and went to the range and GASP! actually started shooting to test some of their findings to see if I got similar results. I did and it was a huge eye opener.

I don't know if you're a handloader or competitive shooter but these concepts can have profound effects on both of these pursuits beyond statistical technicalities. That's the reason behind my continual challenges to people to actually go out and test a small vs large sample, people will likely never look at a 3 shot group (small sample) the same again. It's become my own personal joke at this point because I haven't come across a single person on a shooting forum that will actually go try it but I sure have gotten my fair share of people calling me an idiot in a thousand different ways :D
 
Typical propeller-head, nose in a book but afraid to get your hands dirty :D

Seriously though, I may not have your technical knowledge of statistics but I have a BS in Mechanical Engineering and a desire to learn how things work. When the Hornady engineers and Bryan Litz started posting their research from shooting small vs large sample sizes everybody on every shooting forum I used to follow did exactly what everyone on here is doing. Come up with a million and one reasons why it's wrong and another million and one reasons why they won't go to a range and shoot to try it. Instead of following the herd I actually got a rifle and went to the range and GASP! actually started shooting to test some of their findings to see if I got similar results. I did and it was a huge eye opener.

I don't know if you're a handloader or competitive shooter but these concepts can have profound effects on both of these pursuits beyond statistical technicalities. That's the reason behind my continual challenges to people to actually go out and test a small vs large sample, people will likely never look at a 3 shot group (small sample) the same again. It's become my own personal joke at this point because I haven't come across a single person on a shooting forum that will actually go try it but I sure have gotten my fair share of people calling me an idiot in a thousand different ways :D
I hope I have not caused offense? Hard to tell. If so, I am actually supporting what you say about small sample sizes..... I just nerded it up a little. If you can remove human error then a large sample size will give you better statistics and you could fit a real distribution. Human error will usually bias the shot in one direction since we tend to make the same errors over and over. I bet human error is biased low from jerking the trigger.

Again, I 100% agree with your point so I hope I did not offend, I am just a real nerd (ask my wife and kids)
 
I hope I have not caused offense? Hard to tell. If so, I am actually supporting what you say about small sample sizes..... I just nerded it up a little. If you can remove human error then a large sample size will give you better statistics and you could fit a real distribution. Human error will usually bias the shot in one direction since we tend to make the same errors over and over. I bet human error is biased low from jerking the trigger.

Again, I 100% agree with your point so I hope I did not offend, I am just a real nerd (ask my wife and kids)
Absolutely no offense taken my friend, it's all good :blush:
 
I got busy here for a bit..I can give you a number but number is meaningless from a conceptual standpoint. The reason I say that is because the impact points follow a normal RANDOM distribution. So for example, lets say I shoot a 25 shot group which is going to be a pretty close representation of the maximum dispersion of the rifle and that group measures 2.5 inches. If you're talking about a 3 shot group, since the impacts are random, literally pick any three holes within that 2.5 inch group and what do they measure? Some of those random 3 hole groups are going to be close to the center of the 25 group, some are going to way off, and some in between. With a single 3 shot group you have no idea which 3 random holes you're looking at.

Considering the random nature of those impact points, you can see how shooting a 10 shot group (I think that's what you said you were shooting earlier) is going to be a much closer approximation to the center of the 25 than if you only pick 3 random holes, which is closer than only shooting 1 shot.
Never really questioned the validity of the point, just questioning the application for the average hunter lol. For myself, I have shown zero variances daily, but not usually the variance that requires me to make a scope adjustment. If a hunter is happy with a 2.5" group and shoots a 3-shot 1" group at center, do the variances matter? If a 3 to 5-shot group can be consistently measured at 0.25" and a 10-shot group is consistently measured at 0.5" is the POI worth chasing daily by the variance? I used to shoot benchrest (competitively), tactical matches (competitively), and long range (800-1200 yds. as a precision hobby/varmint hunting); load and shooter variance play a big difference at long range, so ironing those out beforehand is part of the process... I also have detailed shot logs (per rifle) for daily zeros, loads, counts, cleanings, accuracy fall-offs, etc.
 
Never really questioned the validity of the point, just questioning the application for the average hunter lol. For myself, I have shown zero variances daily, but not usually the variance that requires me to make a scope adjustment. If a hunter is happy with a 2.5" group and shoots a 3-shot 1" group at center, do the variances matter? If a 3 to 5-shot group can be consistently measured at 0.25" and a 10-shot group is consistently measured at 0.5" is the POI worth chasing daily by the variance? I used to shoot benchrest (competitively), tactical matches (competitively), and long range (800-1200 yds. as a precision hobby/varmint hunting); load and shooter variance play a big difference at long range, so ironing those out beforehand is part of the process... I also have detailed shot logs (per rifle) for daily zeros, loads, counts, cleanings, accuracy fall-offs, etc.

I've been reading some scope tests done by the same guy on many models over at rokslide.

I'm not becoming convinced that many scopes (including high dollar) stink at holding zero and even if perfectly mounted the reticle moves around inside the scope. This guy is taking scope that cost around or over $1,000 and dropping the rifle 18 inches onto a foam pad and having the POI move like 6" to a foot sometimes.

I'm guessing a lot of variation day to day and even during the same day can be attributed to something as benign as your rifle slumps to the side in the sand bag and the scope hits a box of shells.

I'm doing to use his tests to replace my current scope with one that holds zero reliably.
 
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